The Scottish Budget arrived towards the end of a busy week for economic news and the Deputy First Minister, John Swinney, set out “four important factors” in arriving at the measures announced in the 2023/24 Scottish Budget. Subject to these major constraints, Mr Swinney also set out three priorities for “a different path” from…
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The Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s Autumn Statement came against the background of a Spring Statement and a September ‘mini-Budget’ (which has now been substantially reversed). The overall context is a European recession and high inflation in the wake of the pandemic and the war in Ukraine. The Autumn Statement was presented as a difficult and necessary…
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‘The stock market is designed to transfer money from the active to the patient’ – Warren Buffett If you read nothing else in this communication please read the next couple of paragraphs and look at the first graph below. The intention of this communication is not to provide market commentary, it is simply to…
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Kwasi Kwarteng’s first set piece as Chancellor of the Exchequer was never going to be easy, even before the 0.5% increase in interest rates the day before. The new Prime Minister Liz Truss revealed much of what we might expect before Mr Kwarteng spoke a word, so we already knew that there would be: a…
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Just before Christmas, the Chancellor asked the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) to produce an economic and fiscal forecast for 23 March. The timing and brief nature of the accompanying Treasury announcement reflected Mr Sunak’s wish to keep the Spring Statement a low-profile event. This was not meant to be a March mini-Budget, despite what…
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The first autumn Budget for three years was a three-part presentation. The Chancellor’s well-trailed speech was accompanied by the first multi-year Spending Review since 2015 and the latest Economic and Fiscal Outlook (EFO) from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). Mr Sunak’s previous two Budgets had been dominated by the pandemic, which has wreaked havoc…
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On some counts this Budget was Rishi Sunak’s 15th major announcement since his first Budget, just under a year ago. During this period, the pandemic has dominated the Chancellor’s actions and this was true of his latest Budget. To no small degree the framework for Mr Sunak’s latest appearance at the despatch box had been…
Continue ReadingLate November should have seen the Chancellor announce his Autumn Budget and a comprehensive spending review covering the next three financial years. Like many other plans, the uncertainty created by the pandemic has put both on hold. In their place was a Financial Statement, primarily addressing a one-year spending review, with a nod to the…
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The Chancellor, Rishi Sunak, has spent so much time in the spotlight that it seems hard to believe he has not yet been in the job for five months. Yesterday’s Financial Statement was just the latest of a series of announcements by Mr Sunak since he presented his Spring Budget on 11 March, four weeks…
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Rarely have we seen a Budget delivered against such a dramatic existential threat to the global economy. The fact that the Coronavirus will have a major impact on the major economies of the world is not in dispute. The extent of that impact on the UK economy is a significant judgment call for a Chancellor…
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